Fiction tries to
make sense. Truth is burdened with no such responsibility as truth itself is a
responsibility, but that everyone dreads.
George Bernard
Shaw famously said that “Politics is the
last resort for the scoundrel.” And hmm... that’s an interesting
observation, to say the least. But then nowadays, some say that it is not the
last but the first resort for many across the globe.
But for me it does
appear as the last. Otherwise, why do you think I would be writing on politics?
Being apolitical and generally not dabbling in politics or writing on politics,
if I am resorting to write this blog, it says much – that I do not have enough
assignments on hand that should keep me engaged and my mouth shut! And also
that I am becoming more and more interested not in politics per se’ (I shall remain apolitical) but
the management aspects of the politics are fascinating to me. Sigh...
23rd
May, 2019 closed with the by and large already expected results of the parliamentary
elections in India.
The citizens
have given another thumping mandate to Mr. Narendra Modi and his party, the
Bharatiya Janata Party aka BJP. But in down south of India, from where I come,
there have been interesting dynamics in play. Different players were elected in
my native state of Andhra Pradesh (AP) and my foster state of Tamil Nadu (TN).
I am refraining
myself to write about other states in this blog with perhaps just a peripheral
mention of a few more.
So, first it’s
going to be about my foster state of TN. Here the party that won with thumping
majority is the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), who have forged a pre-election
alliance with the now drubbed Congress party at the center and left to be the
runner up. DMK, while saying that it’s not against Hindus, propagated vociferously
against the Hindutva during its election campaigning and canvassed vehemently
against the BJP, the party that now won with a mammoth majority at the centre.
In the process, it appeared that DMK has confused itself and the electorate
too.
Yet, the result
is that the people in the state gave the party a mandate to represent them in
the central government. But that opportunity appears to be a redundant
rendering, as the party is in the opposition and really cannot bring much
direct benefits to the state. Thus they would not be able to show their mettle
to become victorious in the following elections for the state during the year
2021.
Meantime, the
present ruling party in the state, the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam
(AIADMK), has forged an understanding with the BJP. In the next couple of years,
the BJP, with development projects for TN, would either support their local
ally and make them stronger or make inroads into the state on their own, as BJP
got dismal results in the elections on its own.
So it is a wait
and watch scenario in Tamil Nadu.
Telugu, the
language spoken by the people of Andhra Pradesh (and of course in Telangana
too) is called the Italian of the East, as it is the ‘Ajanta Bhasha’; the language where all words end with vowels. Not
only is the language compared to Italian but the Telugus are also mostly like
the Italians. Sensuous, family oriented, fun loving and yet un-forgetting and
can be very vindictive if they want. Forgive they may, forget they will not. They
have their own rules of Omerta. They
generally do not have patience to wait for justice that takes a long time in
the country. For most of them, the idea of justice is just an illusion. The
Congress leading family, being of Italian native, should have known and
remembered this fact.
During 2014,
much against the wishes of the Telugu speaking people of both the states, Congress,
the then ruling party, has divided the erstwhile Andhra Pradesh of 23 districts
into two states of Andhra Pradesh (residual - how I hate this word even as I am
typing this) and Telangana, just to placate the Telangana Rashtra Samiti (TRS)
party which was demanding a separate state, and who Congress thought would be a
great ally.
The politicians
of Telangana might have benefited out of this ‘forced division’ but the people
of both the states never forgave or forgotten this. And interestingly, the
moment the state was split, the TRS distanced themselves from Congress almost in toto. And during the past two
elections, the Congress was ruthlessly pushed aside, in AP with
zero gains and in Telangana scrape through with about three seats.
This is one
part. The second part is really cinematic.
It is a known
fact that Late Rajasekhar Reddy died in a flight crash while in harness as the
Chief Minister (CM) of the undivided Andhra Pradesh, representing the Congress
Party. When his widow and his daughter (mother and sister of now CM designate Mr. Y. S. Jaganmohana Reddy) went to Delhi to meet the Congress Party President, apparently
they were not only made to wait but also were not given sufficient time to relate what
they wanted to say and for which they came all the way from Hyderabad to Delhi
for.
https://www.news18.com/news/politics/sonias-insult-reddys-revenge-curse-of-andhra-jagans-rise-is-filmier-than-fiction-2158419.html
https://www.news18.com/news/politics/sonias-insult-reddys-revenge-curse-of-andhra-jagans-rise-is-filmier-than-fiction-2158419.html
A furious Jaganmohana
Reddy vowed to end the Congress in AP, came out of Congress and started a new
party - the YSR Congress Party (YSRCP). As time passed, he had been arrested on
disproportionate assets cases and had been incarcerated for about a year and half in jail,
during which time his new party was nurtured by his mother and sister. Once out
on bail, Jaganmohana Reddy tried to strengthen his party and by bonding with
the people by undertaking ‘Paada Yaatra’
(foot marching) across the state, meeting the people of all levels and is
alleged to have covered over 3,600 kms in the process.
Meantime the Telugu
Desam party (TDP) was elected as the first state government after the splitting
of the state in 2014 with people hoping that the Party's President Mr. Chandra Babu Naidu may re-work the magic he did in
turning over Hyderabad into Cyberabad and providing jobs.
But many issues
plagued the TDP party and its government.
At the time of
the split, Andhra Pradesh, which started on a negative budget (and Telangana on
the contrary with a surplus one) was promised a Special Category Status (SCS),
a promise which could not be kept up by Congress as they were out of power in
the subsequent elections and which, allegedly, ‘was not’ kept by the BJP, which
came to power later. A sense of déjà vu
prevailed.
There have been
allegations and counter allegations back and forth that the central government
did not support an emerging state and the central government blaming the state
for not accounting for the funds thus far released. The truth may be buried
forever or till the next opportunity when one party or the other could use it
as a weapon.
The biggest
contention on this score being lack of required funds for the infrastructural
development of a new capital necessitated out of the splitting of the state.
Like it is said
that there were myriad causes and reasons for Karna’s death in the epic
Mahabharatam, the decimation of the TDP, in the latest election, was due to many reasons but seems to be
more self inflicted, with the cardinal error being the joining of hands with the
Congress party. TDP’s supremo appears to have
miscalculated the continued angry mood of people towards the Congress party for
splitting the state.
https://www.thenewsminute.com/ article/tdp-routed-andhra- pradesh-five-reasons-led- naidu-s-downfall-102362
https://www.thenewsminute.com/
The second
reason, perhaps, is the people’s disenchantment with the officials and their
alleged corrupt practices. It is firmly believed by the majority of the public,
of the state, that as the TDP was not in power for over 10 years before, the
moment they came to power again, those close to the party, mostly of a
particular caste who hardly are 5-6% of the total population of the state,
apparently indulged in amassing wealth through contracts - syndicated or
otherwise, illegal sand quarrying, real estate issues etc. Many openly
criticised the chafing under the ‘oppressive caste’ and their unbridled high-handedness
and utterances.
The third reason
was inability to translate promises into action. While it might be true that
the central funds were only trickles, credibility suffered as the leader kept
on promising but pleading inability for lack of funds, while people were openly
remarking the alleged corruption and amassment of wealth from public funds ans state resources.
The fourth reason
could be that despite the proximity to the central government for nearly four
years during which time the party, for whatever reason, could not get the
central funds or a SCS for the state.
The fifth reason
is while the opposition parties in the state were trying to bond more and more with
the people of the state, the ruling party president was travelling more in
other states working towards a coalition of all possible parties to oppose BJP and
thus giving reason and vexation for the local people to feel neglected and that
at the cost of state benefits, the party spent its time on an obviously unproductive
national issue. The TDP president’s public speeches also apparently became more
and more personal and sometimes vitriolic too.
The sixth reason
could be Mr. Naidu’s style of working by micro management and continuous reviewing system. There
are grumblings that many a time, the reviews are more than the work in itself.
This continuous monitoring removed the responsibility from the lower echelons
and put the onus onto the top management which became a terrible burden, as it
has now been proven. In the wake, it also must have left quite a bit of
disgruntlement among the babus!
The seventh
reason is that Mr. Naidu is a
non-believer (apparently) in populist schemes and did whatever such schemes
almost under duress and only in the last year. The percolation effect needed
time and perhaps, the time was not sufficient for the people and also the party
to really benefit from the schemes fully.
I am surprised
by this one action of Mr. Naidu for whose administration capability and
visionary sense, I have immense admiration. How could he not read the writing
on the wall? How could he not know which bridge to cross and which bridge to
burn? Or has he decided that let this be the end and resigned to the fate? Only
time will tell.
One thing that appears
for sure is that within the state, the TDP will become a party to reckon with
hardly anything anymore. As it is widely rumoured that Mr. Jaganmohana Reddy
has some understanding with the central government, some of the following
developments may be foreseen for the future.
Along with the
Congress party, the BJP also has been almost mauled in both AP and TN, as many
people in AP do believe that the central government did not support the state,
when the support was badly needed and in TN several reasons are attributed like
being non-dravida, rightist and then the Sterlite Industry issues etc.
Thus, the party
would desperately, overtly or covertly, need to establish itself before the
next elections in these states.
So, in AP, they
would very likely start and release funds now, which were held back in the past few years for
development work and brand such achievements among much ado and
clamour and say that it is because of BJP, the development activities are happening,
thus paving way for better seats and performance here for themselves.
They will also
be concentrating on addressing some issues in TN like those of the farmers, the
water and industrial growth, for instance.
They may attempt
to resolve the long pending Cauvery issue but if my thinking is right, they
will not push it too much as Cauvery is a sensitive issue, for any one’s
comfort. Instead, they may extend the surplus water from Godavari to Krishna to
Penna into TN (at least till Chennai), using their hold on AP government and
name it as one of their achievements.
It should be
borne in mind that poet Subrahmanya Bharati first wrote about connecting the
rivers and later Late Atal Behari Vajpayee spoke about it. But the real credit
for translation of this vision should go to Late N. T. Rama Rao of the then
ruling party of AP, the TDP and the TN Government. Of course, late Indira
Gandhi being from the central ruling government had to play a role of
facilitation of this project called the ‘Telugu Ganga Project’.
Then came the ‘Polavaram
Project’ of integrating Godavari and Krishna which was envisioned by Late Y. S.
Rajasekhara Reddy of Congress, the then ruling party of AP and almost completed
by Mr. N. Chandra Babu Naidu, with or without much support from the centre.
The industrial growth in TN became stagnant in the past few years and this may also be addressed. After all, jobs need to be provided through these industries, not only for the locals, but also for people from other states of India, where the party won, making jobs a promise.
All we have to
do now is to wait and see and hope that, despite whoever gets the credit, the
people shall benefit, even if people are fooled again in the process.
And in a democracy, as long as the electors and the elected are not appropriately educated, people would continue to be fooled – again and again and again; till kingdom come.
‘Lokaa samastaa sukhino bhavanthu. Sarve janaa sukhino
bhavanthu. Samasta sanmangalaani bhavanthu, Aum Santhi, Santhi, Ssanthihi’
(Let the whole
universe be happy and comfortable! Let all the people be happy and comfortable!
Let there be prosperity all around! Let there be peace, peace and peace!)
Swasti!
Till again,
Krutagjnatalu (Telugu), Nanri
(Tamil), Dhanyavaadagalu (Kannada), Nanni (Malayalam), Dhanyavaad (Hindi),
Dhanyosmi (Sanskrit), Thanks (English), Dhonyavaad (Bangla), Dhanyabad (Oriya
and Nepalese), Gracias (Spanish), Grazie (Italian), Danke Schon (Deutsche),
Merci (French), Obrigado (Portuguese), Shukraan (Arabic and Sudanese), Shukriya
(Urdu), Bohoma Sthuthiyi (Sinhalese) Aw-koon (Khmer), Kawp Jai Lhai Lhai
(Laotian), Kob Kun Krab (Thai), Asante (Kiswahili), Maraming Salamat sa Lahat
(Pinoy-Tagalog-Filipino), Tack (Swedish), Fa'afetai
(Samoan), Terima Kasih (Bahasa Indonesian) and Tenkyu (Tok Pisin of Papua New
Guinea), Malo (Tongan), Vinaka Vaka Levu (Fijian)
Hemantha Kumar Pamarthy
Chennai, India